2012年8月15日 星期三

Short Put 941 @ $87.5

Sell to open 4 contracts of 0941.HK $87.5 Aug 12 Put @ $0.53
Premium = $1060
交易時的正股價 = $91.3
4手0941 正股平均潛在成本 = $87.5 x 4 x 500 = $175000
項目回報率 = $1060/175000 = 0.61% (或 年度化 13.8%)
組合回報率 = $1060/2124086 = 0.049% (或 年度化 1.1%)
Option引伸波幅 = 26.1%
0941的30日歷史波幅 = 20.2%
0941於8月30日前收高於$87.5的機會率 = 85.98%

941目前put (~26%)的引伸波幅比call (~24%)高,即出現了所謂volatility skew的情況. 
這應與莊家預期941將於明天公佈業績後有較大機會回吐有關.

12 則留言:

  1. no, Put always has higher IV than Call...
    it is because when stock drops, the magnitude of drop is always higher than rise

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    1. 都唔一定,升市時put可以平過call.
      不過你講得岩,通常跌都會快過升,不過夾倉式上升都可以好急.

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  2. if you go to compare the at the money put and call for several stock option and HSI, you can easily observe PUT premium is always having higher IV.......

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    1. Hmm.. that also depends on when you look at them, right?

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  3. 交易時的正股價 = $87.5

    May I know what it mean since the range of 941 today is 91.10 to 92.00 ?

    Thanks.

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  4. 今日終於有幾會賣翻5手0941 HK$85 Oct 12 Put @$3.05, Premium = $7625,交易時的正股價 = $87.1

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  5. 橫掂唔急,造遠D,自己製造平D接貨價:) 今日繼續插,如果有機會跌近$80再做一轉

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